Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dijon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dijon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UNFP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dijon hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dijon holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dijon
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
11.0%
Dijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20