Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dijon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Dijon are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while PAU are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and PAU hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Ligue 2, while Dijon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dijon
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
13.6%
Dijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20