GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Devonport City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while South Hobart are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport CityWWLDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South HobartWLWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Devonport CitySouth Hobart
100.0Attack100.0
64.9Defence70.4
80.7Form87.0
78.6Power83.0
2.07xG2.00
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