GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/4/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Devonport City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Riverside are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport City hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

84.3%

Model confidence

84.3%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport CityLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RiversideWDLDW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Devonport CityRiverside
100.0Attack57.4
64.9Defence38.9
80.7Form44.4
78.6Power46.3
4.43xG1.08
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