GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/28/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Devonport City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport City hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport CityWWWLD

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kingborough LionsLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Devonport CityKingborough Lions
100.0Attack91.2
64.9Defence68.4
80.7Form75.4
78.6Power74.6
2.13xG1.87
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