GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/9/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Devonport City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport City hold a 39.7-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

89.2%

Model confidence

89.2%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Devonport CityLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport CityGlenorchy Knights
100.0Attack42.6
64.9Defence38.9
80.7Form31.5
78.6Power39.0
4.50xG0.78
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