Detroit Cityvs
Sporting JAX
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.3% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
77.3%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40