Detroit Cityvs
Miami FC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Detroit City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Miami FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40