GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Detroit City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Detroit CityLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Louisville CityWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Detroit CityLouisville City
45.6Attack60.0
70.2Defence43.3
56.1Form51.7
58.5Power53.6
1.68xG0.97
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