GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Loudoun United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

14.8%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Detroit CityWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Loudoun UnitedLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Detroit CityLoudoun United
48.1Attack38.9
68.5Defence44.4
57.4Form33.3
59.2Power41.4
1.81xG0.64
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