GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Detroit City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Detroit CityWWWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Las Vegas LightsWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Detroit CityLas Vegas Lights
48.1Attack45.6
68.5Defence52.6
57.4Form45.6
59.2Power50.6
1.50xG0.77
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