Detroit Cityvs
Las Vegas Lights
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Detroit City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80