GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Detroit City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Detroit CityWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Indy ElevenLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Detroit CityIndy Eleven
48.1Attack39.2
68.5Defence58.8
57.4Form43.1
59.2Power49.1
1.31xG0.66
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