GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership Women · 7/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Derry City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Derry City W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Larne W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City W hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 10.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Premiership Women, while Derry City W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Derry City W

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Derry City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derry City WDLLWW

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Larne WLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Derry City WLarne W
66.7Attack15.2
18.2Defence0.0
30.3Form6.1
36.4Power10.2
4.50xG1.45
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