GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Premiership Women · 7/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Derry City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Derry City W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Crusaders W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City W hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 31.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Premiership Women, while Derry City W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Derry City W

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Derry City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derry City WLLWWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Crusaders WLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 21 · avg 1.80/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Derry City WCrusaders W
63.9Attack58.3
19.4Defence0.0
27.8Form36.1
35.3Power31.1
4.30xG2.79
View match centre →