Derry Cityvs
Waterford
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 2/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Derry City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Waterford are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40