Derry CityvsTolka Rovers

Derry City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tolka Rovers are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 40.7-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the FAI Cup, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.