GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 2/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Derry City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Derry City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sligo Rovers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Derry City

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derry CityLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sligo RoversWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Derry CitySligo Rovers
43.2Attack28.4
60.5Defence44.4
40.7Form27.2
50.0Power35.9
1.60xG0.59
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