GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 4/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Derry City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Premier Division, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shamrock Rovers

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derry CityWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shamrock RoversWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Derry CityShamrock Rovers
43.2Attack53.1
60.5Defence70.4
40.7Form66.7
50.0Power65.3
0.78xG1.21
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