Derry Cityvs
Shamrock Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 4/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Derry City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Premier Division, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80