Derry Cityvs
HNK Rijeka
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HNK Rijeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Derry City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Rijeka hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HNK Rijeka
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20