GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Rijeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Derry City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Rijeka hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Rijeka

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derry CityLWLLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HNK RijekaWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Derry CityHNK Rijeka
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence91.7
0.0Form83.3
26.7Power73.7
1.01xG1.23
View match centre →