Derry CityvsDrogheda United

Derry City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Drogheda United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Derry City hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Premier Division, while Derry City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.