Derry CityvsCSKA Sofia

Derry City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CSKA Sofia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.