Derry Cityvs
Bohemians
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 6/12/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Derry City are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bohemians are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Premier Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40