Derry Cityvs
Bohemians
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 2/20/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Derry City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bohemians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bohemians hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Premier Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80