Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Dergview are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bangor are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bangor holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bangor
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Bangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00