GGOALVIO

Derby County U21 logoDerby County U21vsCarlisle logoCarlisle

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Carlisle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Derby County U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Carlisle are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Carlisle hold a 53.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Carlisle holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Carlisle

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Carlisle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Derby County U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
CarlisleLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Derby County U21Carlisle
0.0Attack76.2
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form52.4
7.0Power60.5
1.14xG2.54
View match centre →