GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo Saprissa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Saprissa hold a 59.7-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.3%

Model confidence

11.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo SaprissaWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza FCWDLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo SaprissaAlianza FC
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
83.3Power23.7
1.92xG0.99
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