GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Riestra are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (42.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo RiestraLLLDL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
IndependienteWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo RiestraIndependiente
18.3Attack44.4
75.0Defence60.3
28.3Form47.6
42.2Power52.7
0.56xG0.64
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