GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Deportivo Riestra Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo Riestra Res.LLLWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.LLWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo Riestra Res.Independiente Res.
45.5Attack76.8
68.2Defence69.6
48.5Form69.6
54.4Power69.4
0.85xG1.34
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