Deportivo PastovsIndependiente Medellin

Deportivo Pasto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.