Deportivo MoronvsSan Telmo

Deportivo Moron are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Telmo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.