GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Racing Cordoba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing CordobaWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronRacing Cordoba
53.6Attack31.9
68.1Defence61.1
59.4Form41.7
61.0Power47.1
1.42xG0.54
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