GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Andes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Los AndesDWDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MoronLos Andes
53.6Attack29.0
68.1Defence84.1
59.4Form47.8
61.0Power55.0
0.78xG0.50
View match centre →