GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

23.8%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronLWDWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Defensores De BelgranoLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronDefensores De Belgrano
53.6Attack23.2
68.1Defence69.6
59.4Form36.2
61.0Power45.3
1.12xG0.39
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