Deportivo Moronvs
Chaco For Ever
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Moron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00