GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Central Norte are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronWDDLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Central NorteDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronCentral Norte
53.6Attack21.7
68.1Defence65.2
59.4Form33.3
61.0Power42.8
1.29xG0.37
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