Deportivo MoronvsAlmirante Brown

Deportivo Moron are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.