Deportivo Moronvs
Almagro
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Moron are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Almagro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
20.3%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60