Deportivo Moronvs
Acassuso
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Moron are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Acassuso are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40