GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Moron are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Acassuso are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MoronLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AcassusoDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronAcassuso
54.2Attack25.0
69.4Defence59.7
61.1Form30.6
62.2Power40.6
1.52xG0.40
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