GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Metalurgico are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (70.3 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MetalurgicoWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SAT MorenoWWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoSAT Moreno
57.6Attack50.0
78.8Defence86.7
75.8Form80.0
70.3Power72.9
0.88xG0.66
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