GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Merlo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Real Pilar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MerloDLLLD

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real PilarWDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MerloReal Pilar
37.9Attack37.9
48.3Defence64.4
42.5Form50.6
45.2Power53.6
0.86xG1.11
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