Deportivo Merlovs
Real Pilar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 7/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Deportivo Merlo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Real Pilar are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60