GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Merlo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Comunicaciones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Comunicaciones hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MerloDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ComunicacionesLDLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MerloComunicaciones
37.9Attack35.6
48.3Defence66.7
42.5Form44.8
45.2Power51.0
0.81xG1.03
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