GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.6 against 61.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

20.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaldonadoDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoWLDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MaldonadoRacing Montevideo
54.5Attack40.9
66.7Defence74.2
62.1Form62.1
62.6Power61.2
0.90xG0.74
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