Deportivo MaldonadovsProgreso

Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Progreso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.