Deportivo Maldonadovs
Juventud
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Juventud are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20