GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Maldonado

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaldonadoLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MaldonadoJuventud
55.1Attack37.7
65.2Defence50.7
60.9Form34.8
61.9Power43.4
1.84xG0.68
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