Deportivo MaldonadovsClub Nacional

Deportivo Maldonado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Nacional are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.