GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Maipu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaipuLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Y TiroLWDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MaipuGimnasia Y Tiro
43.1Attack36.1
63.9Defence69.4
44.4Form51.4
51.4Power54.7
0.85xG0.73
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