GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Maipu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atletico DE Rafaela are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.4 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo MaipuLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico DE RafaelaDWWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaipuAtletico DE Rafaela
43.1Attack25.0
63.9Defence73.6
44.4Form47.2
51.4Power51.1
0.74xG0.50
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