GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Llacuabamba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Deportivo Llacuabamba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while U. San Martin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Llacuabamba hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Segunda División, while Deportivo Llacuabamba holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Llacuabamba

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Deportivo Llacuabamba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo LlacuabambaLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
U. San MartinWLLDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo LlacuabambaU. San Martin
51.5Attack43.3
87.9Defence56.7
69.7Form36.7
69.3Power46.0
1.54xG0.57
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