GGOALVIO

Spain · La Liga · 8/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo La Coruna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Deportivo La Coruna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Elche are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo La Coruna hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the La Liga, while Deportivo La Coruna holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo La Coruna

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

13.4%

Deportivo La Coruna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Deportivo La CorunaWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ElcheDWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo La CorunaElche
50.0Attack43.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form37.7
50.0Power45.5
1.54xG1.09
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